摘要
Deterministic,probabilisticandcomposite-gradingmethodsareusedtogetthepossiblelocationsofstrongearth-quakesinthefutureinNorwestBeijinganditsvicinitybasedonthequantitativedataandtheiraccuracyaboutactivetectonicsintheresearchareaandbyordering,somequestionsintheresultsarealsodiscussed.Itshowsthatthemostdangerousfaultsegmentsforstrongearthquakesinthefutureinclude:segmentsBandAofthesouthernboundaryfaultoftheYangyuanbasin,thesouthernboundaryfaultoftheXuanhuabasin,theeastsegmentofthesouthernHuai￠anfaultandtheeastsegmentofthenorthernYanggao-Tianzhenfault.ThemostdangerousareaisYangyuan-Shenjingbasin,thesecondoneisTianzhen-Huai￠an-XuanhuabasinandthethirddangerousareasareWanquan-ZhangjiakouandnortheastofYuxiantosouthwestofFanshan.
出版日期
2001年05月15日（中国期刊网平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）
