THE INFLUENCE OF ARCTIC AND ANTARCTIC ICE ON SOUTHERN OSCILLATION

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摘要 TheanalysisoftherelationshipbetweenseaiceinArcticandAntarctic,andtheSouthernOscillationIndex(SOI)variationonthetemporalscaleofmonth,seasonandyearismadeinthispaper.ThenegativecorrelationbetweenseaiceinArcticandtheSOI.andthepositivecorrelationbetweenseaiceinAntarcticandtheSOIarefound.ThevariationofseaiceinAntarcticPacificseemstoplayanimportantroleintheinfluencetoatmosphere.Theirnonlinearrelationshipspresentmorestronglythanthelinearrelationshipbetweenthem.TherelationshipbetweenseaiceinArcticandAntarcticandtheSOIintheearlystageisinvestigated.Theirvariationshowsperiodicphenomena.ThemaximumcorrelationisusedtobuildthemodelforforecastingthevariationoftheSOIontheconditionoftheseaiceinArcticandAntarctic.Theexplainedvarianceofthesimulatedseriesisgreaterthan0.90.Thereexistsa17-monthperiodintherelationshipbetweenseaiceinArcticandAntarcticandSOI.Theexistingofthecommonfactorwithlargerscaleisdiscussedinthispaper.
机构地区 不详
出处 《气象学报:英文版》 1999年4期
出版日期 1999年04月14日(中国期刊网平台首次上网日期,不代表论文的发表时间)
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