摘要
Withpopulationgrowthandincreasingpressureonlandresources,landcarryingcapacity(LCC)andfoodsafetyhavebeenattractinggreatattentionworldwide.Fromthepointofman-grainrelationshipandbyestablishingLCCandlandcarryingcapacityindex(LCCI)models,thisarticlefirstlyanalyzesthespatial-temporaldynamicsofLCCofChinafrom1949to2005atcounty,provincialandnationallevels.Choosing2005asarepresentativeyear,thisarticlethenevaluatestheLCCof264pastoralregions(semipastoralregions),663urbanregionsand592povertystrickenregionsofthecountry.Theresultsshowthat:(1)from1949to2005,withtheincreaseofgrainproduction,theLCCofChinahasbeenimprovedconspicuously,butduetotherapidpopulationgrowth,theproductioncanonlymaintainalowlevelgrainconsumption;(2)overthepast25years(1980-2005),thenumberofpopulationoverloadingprovincesdecreasedfrom23to15andthemangrainrelationshiphasbeenimprovedgradually,butthereweremoreoverloadingprovincesthansurplusprovincesinChina;(3)atcountylevel,therewere1572overloadingcountiesin1980accountingfor68.26%ofthetotalcountiesofthecountryandwherewere649millionpeoplelived,whilein1990,2000and2005,thenumberofoverloadingcountieswere1066,1133and1087respectively,whichshowsthattheman-grainrelationshiphasbeenimprovedobviouslyduringthepast25years;asforspatialdistribution,thesurpluscountiesweremainlyconcentratedinagriculturedevelopedregions,suchasNortheastPlain,NorthChinaPlain,middleandlowerReachesoftheYangtzeRiverPlain,andoverloadingcountiesweremainlylocatedinregionswithpoornaturalenvironmentandlowgrainproductioncapacity,suchasNorthwestChina,TibetanPlateauandLoessPlateauandeconomicallydevelopedurbanregions,suchasBeijing,TianjinandShanghai;(4)animalhusbandryimprovedgreatlytheLCCofpastoralandsemi-pastoralregions,whileurbanregionswereoverloadingforincreasingpopulationpressureandmoreth
出版日期
2009年04月14日（中国期刊网平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）
