简介：AmethodofreliabilityanalysisbasedonadirectstrengthcalculationemployingthevonMisesstressfailurecriterionispresentedhere.Theshorttermstraindistributionsofshiphullstructuralcomponentsareidentifiedthroughthestatisticalanalysisofthewave-inducedstrainhistoryandthelongtermdistributionsbytheweightedsummationoftheshorttermstraindistributions.Thewave-inducedlongtermstraindistributioniscombinedwiththestillwaterstrain.Theextremestraindistributionoftheresponsestrainisobtainedbystatisticalanalysisofthecombinedstrains.ThelimitstatefunctionofthereliabilityanalysisisbasedonthevonMisesstressfailurecriterion,includingtherelateduncertaintiesduetothequalityofthematerialandmodeluncertainty.ThereliabilityindexiscalculatedusingFORMandsensitivityanalysisofeachvariablethathaseffectsonthereliabilityisalsodiscussed.