简介:自“阿拉伯之春”以降,伊斯兰极端主义日益成为全球非传统安全研究领域的主要议题.以往的研究已经注意到极端宗教思想对“一失败,即溃散”的弥散型恐怖主义之影响,但对于弥散型恐怖主义生成根源、传播路径与扩散范围却没有形成系统性的区分与探讨.基于对伊斯兰文明圈核心区域、半边缘区域和边缘区域在宗教地位、部族影响、民族国家认同与区域权力结构四种因素的区分,在伊斯兰文明核心区域容易形成向外围单向辐射的跨国弥散型恐怖主义;而在伊斯兰文明边缘区域容易接受来自文明核心区域的影响并成为伊斯兰极端主义扩张工具与动员手段.半边缘区域因地缘上的过渡性和宗教上的亚文明特征而介于两者之间.“一带一路”倡议途径广大的伊斯兰国家,为确保中国海外投资安全,在伊斯兰文明核心区和半边缘区域应该注重发展同当地部族关系,而在边缘区则需要强化政府间官方合作.
简介:TheRepublicPartywoncomprehensivevictoryinthe2004U.S.generalelection.Notonlydiditkeeppresidency,expandseatsintheSenateandtheHouseofRepresentatives,italsoachievedcertainprogressingovernors'elections.ThevictoryinelectionbytheRepublicPartyreflectsthefactthatAmericasocietypaysutmostconcerntosecurityandthemainstreamofthetrendofthoughtisconservative.
简介:ThemaincauseofBush'ssuccessintheelectionandbeingre-electedPresidentisthattheRepublicansanditsconservatistideologyprevailsinAmerica.U.S.presidentialelectioniscontentionbetweenthecandidatesinpersonalcapacity,morality,experience,wealthandfamilyaswellascontentionbetweenthetwoparties.In2004election,BushisnotadvantageoustoKerryinpersonalfactors,butinthepartyitself.TheRepublicanshaveobviousadvantagestotheDemocraticParty.Themajorsourceoftheadvantagescomefromconservatistideology.
简介:AsharpecohomicslidebeganinU.S.economysincethesecondhalfoflastyearafterasustainedrobustgrowthlastingclosetoadecade.ThreesuccessiveFederalReserveBoard’s(FRB)interestratecutsamountingto1.5percentagepointshavethusfarfailedtocheckthedownturn.Thesituationismoregravethanexpectedwiththebottom-outnotyetinsight.Therecoveryperiodmaybealongdrawn-outaffair,yetatraditionaldepressionmaybeavoidable,nottosayarepeatofenduringrecessioninJapanesestyle.
简介:TheIraqwaristhebiggestexperimentalsiteofBushismandthesuccessorfailureofthewartherehasadirectbearingonthespreadofBushismasastrategicmodel.HenceitisnecessarytomakeasystematicassessmentofAmerica'ssituationinIraq.ThecurrentsituationshowsthattheUnitedhasgotintoanunprecedentedstrategichaziness.Inthesecurityfield,U.S.forceshavedispatchedlargenumberoftroopstocarryoutsuppressionandwonfrequentvictories,buttheyaresufferingstrongerresistances.Intherealmofpoliticalreconstruction,thedemocraticprocessinIraqisnowunderinaccordancewiththeprescribedorder,butreligiouscontradictionsareontherise,andpoliticalstructuresbecomemorefragile.Overeconomicreconstruction,theUnitedStateshaskeptincreasinginputandatthesametimeappealedtotheinternationalcommunityformoreassistance.EventhoughIraqisfacedwithdifficultiesinthereconstruction.Therefore,thereisawideningdisagreementinAmericaover"whethertheU.S.iswinningorlosingthewarinIraq."①BasedonthemajorviewsofexpertsandscholarsfrombothChinaandoverseas,theauthorthinksthatthefollowingthreecriteriaareimportantforjudgingwhethertheUnitedStateshassucceededorfailedinpursuingitsstrategyinIraq:thefeasibilityofstrategicobjectives,balanceofobjectivesandmeansandadaptabilityofstrategicmeans.Judgedbytheabove-mentionedcriteria,theUnitedStatesisnowlandinginastrategicpredicamentinIraq.
简介:SincetheendoftheColdWar,theU.S.-EUrelationshavegonethroughtwistsandturns.Fromthebeginningof2003whentheUnitedStateslaunchedtheIraqWartothespringof2005whenPresidentGeorgeW.BushpaidavisittoEurope,thealliesacrosstheAtlanticOceanhaduncompromisingconfrontationsatfirst,andthenshowedapparentreconciliationandstrengthened
简介:TheDarfurissuehasbeeninfluencingtheSino-U.S.relationshipsinceJuly2004.Thereareatleastthreereasonstosayso.Firstly,ChinaandtheU.S.disagree,bothonthenatureoftheissueandonitssolution.Secondly,ChinaandtheU.S.haveconflictinginterests,especiallytheiroilinterestsinSudanandtheAfricancontinent.Finally,U.S.domesticpoliticalforceshaveforcedtheissueontotheagendaofSino-U.S.relations.AlthoughtheissuehasbecomeanunharmoniousfactorintheSino-U.S.relationship,ithasnotdamagedthebilateralrelationstoomuch.Instead,thetwocountrieshavebeencooperatingontheissue.
简介:Atthedawnofthenewcentury,theRepublicansreturnedtotheWhiteHouseaftereightyearsinopposition.WhenPresidentGeorgeW.Bushandhisforeignpolicyteamwerestrivingtorealizetheirdiplomaticambition,theeventsofSeptember11ledthemtoreadjusttheirforeignpolicy,therebyaremarkablefeaturecanbeseeninMr.Bush’sinitialdiplomacy.
简介:theU.S.isdirectlyimpactingonthefutureoftheEastAsiancommunity.Therefore,findingwaystogetalongwiththeU.S.iscrucialtothespeed,direction,configurationandcharacteroftheEastAsiancommunity.Inthispaper,theauthorhasanalyzedtheinterestsoftheUnitedStatesinEastAsiaanditsstandstowardstheEastAsianintegration.TheauthorconcludesthatitistotheinterestoftheUnitedStatestomakemoreeffortstofurtherjoinintheEastAsianintegration.AndEastAsiashouldacceptandwelcometheAmericanparticipation.
简介:"Energyindependence"hasbeenanage-olddreamoftheU.S.administration,andrecentlyreemergedasahottopicintheUnitedStates.ThecurrentdeclineofU.S.dependenceonforeignenergyismainlycausedbyitseconomicdownturnratherthangenuineenergyindependence.ActuallytheU.S.stillneedstoimportlargequantitiesofcrudeoilinaratherlongtime.