摘要
Accordingtotheresultsofestimationofthemaximumpotentialearthquakeintheprojectof"TheActiveFaultDetectionandSeismicRiskEvaluation(PhaseII)ofZhengzhouCity",theneareast-westtrendingLaoyachenfaultandShangjiefaultaredevelopedintheurbanarea.TheLaoyachenfaultwasnotactiveintheQuaternary,buttheShangjiefaultmayhavethepotentialofgeneratingM5.0~5.5earthquakes.Inordertogettheprobabilityofoccurrenceofmaximumpotentialearthquakes,wedelineatethestatisticalareasandthepotentialsourceareasandcalculatetheseismicityparametersandthespacedistributionfunctions.OurstudyshowsthattheprobabilityofoccurrenceofanearthquakewithM≥5.0onthefaultsinZhengzhoucityis6%inthenext50yearsand11%inthenext100years.
出版日期
2013年03月13日（中国期刊网平台首次上网日期，不代表论文的发表时间）
