学科分类
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1 个结果
  • 简介:ATibetanozonelowwasfoundinthe1990saftertheAntarcticozonehole.Whetherthisozonelowhasbeenrecoveringfromthebeginningofthe2000sfollowingtheglobalozonerecoveryisanintriguingtopic.WiththemostrecentmergedTOMS/SBUV(TotalOzoneMappingSpectrometer/SolarBackscatterUltraViolet)ozonedata,theTibetanozonelowanditslong-termvariationduring1979-2010areanalyzedusingastatisticalregressionmodelthatincludestheseasonalcycle,solarcycle,quasi-biennialoscillation(QBO),ENSOsignal,andtrends.TheresultsshowthattheTibetanozonelowmaintainsandmaybecomemoresevereonaverageduring1979-2010,comparedwithitsmeanstateintheperiodsbefore2000,possiblycausedbythestrongerdownwardtrendoftotalozoneconcentrationovertheTibet.Comparedwiththeozonevariationoverthenon-Tibetanregionalongthesamelatitudes,theTibetanozonehasalargerdownwardtrendduring1979-2010,withamaximumvalueof-0.40±0.10DUyr1inJanuary,whichsuggeststhestrengtheningoftheTibetanozonelowincontrasttotherecoveryofglobalozone.RegressionanalysesshowthattheQBOsignalplaysanimportantroleindeterminingthetotalozonevariationovertheTibet.Inaddition,thelong-termozonevariationovertheTibetanregionislargelyaffectedbythethermal-dynamicalproxiessuchasthelowerstratospherictemperature,withitscontributionreachingaround10%ofthetotalozonechange,whichisgreatlydifferentfromthatoverthenon-Tibetanregion.

  • 标签: 南极臭氧洞 西藏 长期变化 统计回归模型 藏族地区 臭氧总量