学科分类
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5 个结果
  • 简介:Inviewofthelimitationsinthepredictionofpollutionflashovervoltagebyleastsquaresregression,amethodtopredictpollutionflashovervoltagebyrobustregressionisproposed.Accordingtotestingvoltageandthedataofsaltdepositdensity(ρSDD)andnon-solubledepositdensity(ρNSDD),theregressioncoefficientissolvedbyacomplexweightingleastsquareiterationalgorithm.Initerativecalculations,theweightfunctionisadopted,inwhichtheweightcoefficientisthefunctionoftheresidualerroroflastiterationtoweakentheinfluenceofsingularvaluesontheregressioncoefficient.ThecharacteristicexponentdenotingρSDDinfluenceandcharacteristicexponentdenotingρNSDDinfluencearemappedbytheregressioncoefficient,andthusthepollutionflashovervoltageofinsulatorscanbepredicted.Throughthecomparisonoftestresults,robustregressionresultsandleastsquaresregressionresults,theeffectivenessoftheproposedrobustregression-basedforecastingmethodisverified.

  • 标签: INSULATOR POLLUTION FLASHOVER VOLTAGE prediction ROBUST
  • 简介:Accuratepredictionofwindpowerissignificantforpowersystemdispatchingaswellassafeandstableoperation.BymeansofBPneuralnetwork,radialbasisfunctionneuralnetworkandsupportvectormachine,anewcombinedmethodofwindpowerpredictionbasedoncooperativegametheoryisproposed.Inthemethod,everysingleforecastingmodelisregardedasamemberofthecooperativegames,andthesumofsquareerrorofcombinationforecastingistakenastheresultofcooperation.TheresultisdividedamongthemembersaccordingtoShapleyvalues,andthenweightsofcombinationforecastingcanbeobtained.Applicationresultsinanactualwindfarmshowthattheproposedmethodcaneffectivelyimprovepredictionprecision.

  • 标签: 合作博弈 功率预测 风电场 组合方法 博弈论 径向基函数神经网络
  • 简介:ThispaperintroducesaMonteCarloscenariogenerationmethodbasedoncopulatheoryforthestochasticoptimalpowerflow(STOPF)problemwithwindpower.Byusingcopulatheory,thescenariosaresimulatedfrommultivariablejointdistributionbutonlyfromtheirdependencymatrix.Hence,thescenariosgeneratedbyproposedmethodcancontainfullstatisticalinformationofmultivariate.Here,thedetailsofsimulatingscenariosformulti-wind-farmareexplainedwithfoursteps:determinemarginofonewindfarm,fitthecopulas,chooseoptimalcopulasandsimulatescenariosbyMoteCarlo.Moreover,theproducingprocessofscenariosisdemonstratedbytwoadjacentactualwindfarmsinChina.Withthescenarios,theSTOPFisconvertedintothesameamountdeterministicsubOPFmodelswhichcanbesolvedbyavailabletechnologyperfectly.Resultsusingcopulatheoryarecomparedagainstresultsfromhistorysamplesbasedontwodesigns:IEEE30-busandIEEE118-bussystems.Thecomparisonresultsprovetheaccuracyoftheproposedmethodology.

  • 标签: 蒙特卡罗模拟 生成方法 COPULA 函数理论 IEEE 相关性矩阵
  • 简介:Thepaperpresentsarenovationofthermalsystemdesignofapowerandheatcogenerationdevicebyutilizingthe"ProcessEnergyIntegrationMethod".Thenewalternativeobtainsprominentenergysavingresult.

  • 标签: THERMAL SYSTEM PROCESS ENERGY INTEGRATION HEATERS
  • 简介:Energy-conservationbasedgenerationdispatchingistherevolutionarychangeinoperationmodewhichcouldreduceenergyconsumptionandpollutantemissions,promotepowerindustryrestructuring,andachievesustainabledevelopment.Socialbenefitevaluationoftheenergy-conservationbasedgenerationdispatchingunderthenewsituationandenvironmenthascomeintobeingasanimportanttheoreticalissue.Anewscenarioanalysisbasedsocialbenefitevaluatingmethod,whichisimplementedbycomparingtheenergyconsumptionandpollutantemissionsofdifferentscenariosdefinedbythekeyindicators,i.e.,loadfactorandcoalconsumptionstructure,isproposedinthepaper.Thenthecompositionofsocialbenefitisanalyzedfromthepointofthedispatchingmodeandthecoalconsumptionstructure.Themethodproposedisofclearphysicalmeaning.Itisnotonlypractical,butalsoapplicablefortheimplementationofenergy-conservationbasedgenerationdispatchingindifferentphasesandwithdifferentgoals.

  • 标签: 社会效益评价 发电调度 效益评价方法 节能 广东省 污染物排放量