简介:一、地震基本参数表1 地震基本参数表发震时间年月日时分秒震 中 位 置微 观宏 观东经北纬东经北纬参考地名震级(MD)震源深度(Km)震中烈度 地震类型 199203030602228118°10′24°06′118°06′24°12′漳浦海外(厦门南)48Ⅴ孤立型 表1中宏观震中是根据陆地上勾划的等震线推测的,在微观震中的北西20公里左右。二、地震烈度分布本次地震的波及面很广,闽东南沿海地区均明显有感,调查在Ⅴ、Ⅳ度两个区内进行。由于地震影响场只有一小半在陆地上,勾勒出的是Ⅴ、Ⅳ度两条等震线的半椭圆弧线(见图14-1)。图14-1 1992年3月3日漳浦海外地震等震线图Ⅴ度区:震中位于海上
简介:Abrandnewexpertsystemforearthquakeprediction,calledESEP3.0,wassuccessfullydevelopedrecently,inwhichthefuzzytechnologyandneuralnetworkconceptionwereincorporatedandthesteeringinferencemechanismwasintroduced.Inadditiontothefunctionsofsymbolinferenceandexplanationofthefirstgenerationoftheexpertsystemandtheknowledgelearningofthesecondgeneration,ESEP3.0hasstrongerhuman-machineinteractionfunction.Itconsistsofknowledgeedition,machinelearning,steeringfuzzyinferenceengineandsynchronousexplanationsubsystems.Inthispaper,thecomponentsandthegeneraldescriptionofthesystemareintroduced.
简介:Theconventionalpseudo-staticapproachoftenneglectstheeffectoftheverticalseismicaccelerationonthestabilityofaslope,butsomeanalysesunderplane-strain(2D)conditionsshowasignificanteffectontheslopestability.Thepurposeofthisstudyistoinvestigatetheeffectoftheverticalaccelerationonthesafetyofthree-dimensional(3D)slopes.Inthestrictframeworkoflimitanalysis,a3Dkinematicallyadmissiblerotationalfailuremechanismisadoptedherefor3Dhomogeneousslopesinfrictional/cohesivesoils.Asetofstabilitychartsispresentedinawiderangeofparametersfor3Dslopesundercombinedhorizontalandverticalseismicloadingconditions.Accountingfortheeffectsoftheverticalseismicacceleration,thedifferenceinsafetyfactorsfor3Dslopescanexceed10%,whichwillsignificantlyoverestimatethesafetyofthe3Dslopes.
简介:TheseismicwaveformoftheYutianMS7.3earthquake,XinjiangonFebruary12,2014wasrecordedclearlyandcompletelybytheDigitalSeismicNetworksofXinjiang,Qinghai,Tibet,andXinjiangHotanarray,sothemethodofjointlocationbyregionalseismicnetworkandseismicarraycanbeusedtoaccuratelydeterminetheearthquakesourcelocation.Thefollowingtechnologieswereusedintheprocessoflocation:(1)WeselectedseismicstationsequallylocatedaroundtheepicenteroftheMS7.3earthquakewithanaverageintervalofabout15degreesintheinitiallocation.(2)TherecordingwaveformsofYutianseismicstationwererotatedtotheradialandtangentialdirectionstopreciselyobtainthearrivaltimeofS-wavestodeterminetheepicentraldistance.(3)Thevelocitymodelwasusedinthedeterminationoflocationoftheepicenter,basedonthehistoricalrecordsofearthquakesintheareawithinaradiusof1.0°fromthesourceasthecenter,andthevelocitymodelisobtainedafterre-fittingandcalibration.(4)BasedonthewaveformrecordsoftheHotanseismicarray,themethodofwaveformbeamingwasusedtodeterminetheazimuthsandperformthecorrectionoftheepicenterlocationwiththeseazimuths.(5)Thedeterministicmethodwasusedtomeasurethesourcedepth.Finally,itisconcludedthattheYutianMS7.3mainshockhypocenterlocationis36.197°N,82.467°E,focaldepth12kmandoriginaltime17:19:48.2p.m.February12,2014.
简介:ThispapercalculatesthestaticCoulombstresschangesgeneratedbyfourearthquakesintheYutianareaduring2008~2014separately,thendiscussesthetriggeringinfluence,theiraccumulatedCoulombstresschangesandtheirinfluenceonnearbyfaults.TheresultsindicatethattheMS5.5earthquakein2011andtheM_S7.3earthquakein2014arebothintheregionswheretheCoulombstresschangeispositive,thestresschangesare0.004MPaand0.021MPa,respectively,meaningtheyaretriggeredbypriorearthquakes.TheMS6.2earthquakein2012occurredintheplacewhereCoulombstresschangewasnegative,soitispostponedbythepriorearthquakes.TheimageofCoulombstresschangesoftheMS7.3earthquakein2014isinaccordwithaftershocks(ML≥3.0)distribution,butsomeregionsonthefaultwheretheCoulombstresschangeispositivehavefewaftershocks,andstrongaftershocksmayoccuratthesedistrictsinfuture.Inaddition,thispapercalculatestheCoulombstresschangeonnearbyfaults,andfindsthattheCoulombstresschangesofdifferentelementsintheGGCfaultareverydifferent,andmustreceivestrongtriggered-influence,thoughtheresultmaybeinfluencedbytheinputfinitefaultmodel,sothereisstillalargeearthquake-risk.TheGGN,PLC,PLWandLBWfaultswerealsotriggeredbythefourearthquakesoccurringbetween2008~2014.TheirmaximumCoulombstresschangesallexceed0.002MPa,sotheyalsohaveastrongearthquakehazard.
简介:Preliminaryresultof3DgravitationalforwardcalculationstudyinBohaiSeaGUANGXIALIU1)(刘光夏)WENJUNZHAO2)(赵文俊)WENJUREN1)(任文菊)XIU...